Week 1 FanDuel Quarterback Plays
Each week I will list my top GPP quarterback and top Cash Game quarterback to use in your DFS lineups on FanDuel. Below are this week’s options.
GPP – Aaron Rodgers ($8,300)
Aaaron Rodgers is priced as the QB2 on FanDuel. He would be my second ranked quarterback, if not my top QB1 overall this week, if we ignored pricing. He faces a Seattle Seahawks defense that will scare off many fantasy owners. While $8,300 might seem expensive, Rodgers is only $200 more than Kirk Cousins.
However, Seattle was only the 13th-ranked passing defense in 2016, and Richard Sherman is not getting any younger. Also, Rodgers has not been impacted by the Seattle defense while in Green Bay. Over the past four years, Rodgers has played Seattle twice in Green Bay—averaging 250 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns. This is less than half of a fantasy point less than his career average over this span.
The Packers also run almost double their no-huddle rate at home, versus on the road (per Pat Thorman of Pro Football Focus). We also have to consider they are literally starting a wide receiver at running back. This is especially important against a Seattle defense that was susceptible through the air in 2016, but still ranked as the third-best rushing defense per DVOA.
Rodgers possesses one of the highest ceilings of any quarterback in NFL history and finally has a healthy Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb and Davante Adams. Add Martellus Bennett to this unit, and Rodgers is my top GPP play of the week.
Cash Games – Carson Wentz ($7,100)
The selection at quarterback for cash games this week… is… less than inspiring. However, Wentz checks a lot of the boxes.
Box No. 1: Vegas. Wentz opened as a 2.5-point road underdog, but has since seen the line move to a 1-point favorite for Philadelphia. I wish Wentz was at home, but the line moving his way is a really nice sign for his week.
Box No. 2: Washington Defense. Per DVOA, Washington’s defense ranked 22nd against the WR1, 29th against the WR2, 24th against “other WR”, and 25th against the TE in 2016. They finished the season as the 24th overall passing defense per DVOA as well. This is all with Josh Norman on the field. He doesn’t really concern me.
Box No. 3: Weapons. Wentz has plenty of new toys, after running an offense led by a slot WR in 2016. This week he has a healthy Zach Ertz, healthy Alshon Jeffery, and a healthy Torrey Smith. Plus, the Eagles have yet to find a running game this preseason—which means Darren Sproles is most likely their best option at running back. Plus, Wentz will be protected by PFF’s 2016 third-ranked tackle in Lane Johnson, ninth-ranked tackle in Jason Peters, and third-ranked guard in Brandon Brooks. As noted by Joe Paeno, in his TwoQBs debut article, Carson Wentz performed much better with proper protection. He finally has it all together. Fire him up with confidence in cash games.