Fantasy Aces Week 7: Impact Of Injuries

Fantasy Aces Week 7: Impact Of Injuries

Every single injury and suspension matters when playing NFL daily fantasy sports (DFS). They cause the DFS landscape to change on a weekly basis. … Injuries and suspensions to lesser teammates or defensive players can cause studs to become must-plays in any given week. Furthermore, fitting a lineup under the required salary cap on Fantasy Aces can be difficult, but injuries and suspensions often create opportunities for players with low salaries to outperform their price. DFS websites, Fantasy Aces included, don’t generally adjust a player’s salary until after they have performed on the field. Being proactive about injuries and predicting a breakout before it happens not only provides legit bragging rights, but also plenty of chances to be profitable in DFS.

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Taking advantage of the cheap players benefiting from the absence of others affords you the ability to fit multiple studs into your lineups. Every single player who benefits from an injured/suspended teammate or opponent should always be considered when building lineups. That’s why I bring this column to you weekly and break down the most relevant injuries and suspensions each week in DFS. Let’s get to it:

Doug Martin and Vincent Jackson Both Out + NaVorro Bowman, Ray Ray Armstrong, and Ian Williams All Out

Doug Martin reportedly had a setback in his recovery and he will not play in this game. Vincent Jackson will also miss the game, as he was recently put on IR. The Buccaneers offense hasn’t been too difficult to figure out so far this year and our job just got easier. Jacquizz Rodgers ($4,000) handled 35 touches in the Buccaneers’ last game and gets a 49ers defense decimated with injuries. NaVorro Bowman, Ray Ray Armstrong, and Ian Williams were all supposed to play major roles in the 49ers’ front-7 this season, but have all been lost for the year with injuries. This helps explain why the 49ers are giving up the most rushing yards per game and the second-most rush TDs (9). Just last week, LeSean McCoy dropped 140 yards and three TDs on them.

Mike Evans ($5,3oo) is currently tied for fifth in targets (60) and he has already had his bye week. He was already seeing large volume in the Buccaneers offense. With Vincent Jackson now lost for the season he might start to see even more targets. Evans already has four TDs on the year and gets a 49ers defense tied for the seventh-most pass TDs allowed (12).

Joe Haden Doubtful

The Browns best CB, Joe Haden, is Doubtful for Sunday. If he sits, A.J. Green ($6,200) could have another monster game. Green currently ranks third in the league in targets with 62 and gets a Browns defense that has given up the second-most pass TDs (16) this season and the seventh-most passing yards per game. Green has seen large volume all season, is at home, and has a phenomenal matchup. If Joe Haden sits, lock Green into your lineup.

Jason Verrett Out

Jason Verrett is one of the best CBs in football and the Chargers are hurting with him injured and out of their lineup. San Diego is giving up the ninth-most passing yards per game and is tied for the 11th-most pass TDs given up (10). Matt Ryan ($7,400) currently ranks third in passing yards per game (345.8) and second in pass TDs (15). He’s in a great spot a home and should easily be able to take advantage of this favorable matchup. He’s my favorite QB play of the week. If Matt Ryan has a great game like I think he will that should mean Julio Jones ($6,550) will ball out as well. Jones leads the league in receiving yards per game with 109.3. Even though a 300-yard performance earlier this season is skewing that number a bit it is still very impressive. Jones is at home and has a favorable matchup he should be able to exploit.

Carlos Hyde Out

Colin Kaepernick ($5,500) is the 25th-most expensive QB on Fantasy Aces this week. He’s looking like a bargain at that salary because of his rushing upside. He had eight carries for 66 yards in his first start last week and those numbers should increase with Carlos Hyde ruled out. The matchup isn’t a bad one either, as he’s at home facing a Buccaneers defense that is giving up the 14th-most passing yards per game.

Donte Moncrief Out

With Donte Moncrief out of the lineup, T.Y. Hilton ($5,000) has clearly been the #1 option in the Colts offense. Although he had a down game last week in a tough matchup on the road against the Houston Texans, Hilton still saw nine targets. Not only that, but he’s currently tied for first in targets (64) with Antonio Brown. The Colts/Titans game is an intriguing one to me and I think it’s a sneaky spot where a lot of points could be scored. If so, Hilton could have yet another great game against a defense that just allowed nine catches, 75 yards, and two TDs to Terrelle Pryor a week ago.

Theo Riddick, Ameer Abdullah + Eric Ebron Out

The Lions are at home and it’s hard not to want at least some exposure to Matthew Stafford this week. Stafford ranks ninth in passing yards per game and is tied for third in pass TDs with 14. The matchup isn’t a great one against a Washington defense only allowing the 18th-most passing yards per game, but this game has the potential to become a shootout. With Theo Riddick and Eric Ebron out, Marvin Jones ($4,700), Golden Tate ($4,500), and Anquan Boldin ($4,000) are all in play this week.

Jordan Reed and Josh Doctson Both Out + DeSean Jackson Questionable

Jordan Reed will miss his second straight game with a concussion and Josh Doctson was recently put on IR. Predicting who would have a good game out of Washington’s gigantic stable of pass catchers has not been very easy to do so far this year. However, these injuries are clearing things up for us. DeSean Jackson is listed as Questionable for this game and if he doesn’t play, Pierre Garcon ($4,300) and Jamison Crowder ($4,250) both become very solid options. The matchup is a favorable one against a Lions defense giving up the 10th-most passing yards per game and the most pass TDs (17). Even worse, they just allowed 321 yards and three TDs to Case Keenum. Garcon is my favorite play of the two, as he has seen 18 targets over the past two weeks compared to Crowder’s seven, but they’re both very much in play.

Travis Benjamin Questionable

The Chargers are already without the services of Keenan Allen, Stevie Johnson, and Danny Woodhead for the year. Travis Benjamin is now Questionable. If Benjamin sits, Tyrell Williams ($4,200) and Hunter Henry ($4,450) become very intriguing plays against a Falcons defense giving up the sixth-most passing yards per game and tied for third-most pass TDs given up (14). There could be a lot of points scored in this game.

LeSean McCoy Is a Game-yime Decision + Sammy Watkins Out

The Bills offense runs through the RB position, especially with Sammy Watkins out of the lineup. LeSean McCoy has taken advantage of his heavy role in the offense and is having one heck of a season thus far. However, McCoy is dealing with a hamstring injury. He did practice on Friday, but is reportedly still a game-time decision. Pay attention to the injury report. If his hamstring injury forces him to sit, Mike Gillislee ($3,500) becomes a very good play against a Dolphins defense giving up the second-most rushing yards per game. Gillislee has some momentum too as he has scored a TD in back-to-back weeks.

Dwayne Allen Out

Jack Doyle ($4,000) is currently tied for 12th in catches (20) and tied for second in TDs (3) at the tight end position. He has put up those numbers while sharing time with Dwayne Allen. With Allen set to miss this game, Doyle should see an increase in target share making him a great cheap TE option this week. A lot of points could be scored in this matchup between the Colts and Titans, which could benefit Doyle who caught a TD pass last week after Allen got injured.

Steve Smith Doubtful

Steve Smith is listed as doubtful for a second week in a row. If he sits out again, Mike Wallace ($4,350), Dennis Pitta ($4,300), and even Breshad Perriman ($3,700) are all in play. The matchup is a favorable one against a Jets defense giving up the fifth-most passing yards per game and that is tied for the fifth-most pass TDs given up (13). Wallace is my favorite of the three, as he has averaged 10 targets over the past three weeks. His deep speed should be more utilized in the Ravens’ new offense post-Marc Trestman. However, Pitta saw 10 targets and Perriman saw eight targets last week.

Eric Decker Out

It didn’t happen last week, as Brandon Marshall ($5,250) only saw six targets, but Geno Smith could throw to Marshall early and often in this game. There’s a decent chance last week was an outlier, as Marshall is tied for fifth in targets with 60 on the year. With Eric Decker out for the season, and the Jets defense looking absolutely horrible, Marshall should see significant targets in most of his games for the rest of the season. This week, Marshall gets a Ravens defense tied for the seventh-most pass TDs (12) allowed.

Terrelle Pryor Questionable + Corey Coleman, Josh Gordon, Robert Griffin III, and Josh McCown All Out

With so many players injured or suspended, the Browns have relied heavily on Terrelle Pryor to begin the season. Pryor is Questionable for this game. If he doesn’t play the Bengals defense ($3,000) makes for an interesting play this week, as they look to be in a good spot at home. Browns rookie QB Cody Kessler has actually been pretty solid so far, but there’s only so much he can do with limited and inexperienced weapons around him.

Ben Cummins

Ben Cummins is very passionate about fantasy football. He combines film watching and statistical research to formulate his opinions on a number of different fantasy football topics. He is dedicated to supporting his beliefs with important and necessary data. In addition to contributing to TwoQBs.com, Ben is also a contributor for both The Fantasy Footballers and Rotoviz. You can find him on Twitter @BenCumminsFF


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