Week 11 Fantasy Aces Cash Game Picks
Cash Games are daily fantasy contests with a flat pay-out structure that tend to pay out roughly 50 percent of the field. The same prize is awarded to all “winners,” regardless of relative score. Because you’re winning the same amount of money whether you finish ahead of the cash line by 1 point or 100 points, you’re not necessarily looking to put together a lineup filled with massive upside and boom-or-bust options. You should look for the best value — picking players most likely to give you solid fantasy production relative to their salaries. With that said, let’s take a look at my favorite Week 11 Fantasy Aces cash game picks…
Ben Roethlisberger ($7,450)
Roethlisberger wasn’t completely healthy in his Week 9 return from a knee injury, but he appeared to find his stride in Week 10, throwing for 400 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions. He also has games of four and five touchdowns with no interceptions this season and has generally put together an excellent fantasy season overall. Big Ben has finished as a top-12 quarterback in six of his eight starts, with three top-3 weekly finishes.
He draws an outstanding match-up this week against the Cleveland Browns. Football Outsiders’ DVOA numbers through Week 10 aren’t available as of writing, but the Browns ranked 32nd in pass defense DVOA through Week 9 before allowing 296 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air to the Ravens in Week 9. The Steelers have the second-highest implied total of the week (28.5, as of writing), and Pittsburgh is a great place to look for big fantasy upside this week.
Marcus Mariota ($6,350)
After a slow start to the season, Mariota has really picked up his fantasy production recently. He has been a top-12 fantasy quarterback in each of his last six games, with four top-5 finishes in that span (including two first-place finishes). Mariota brings his consistency into a solid match-up this week, as the Colts ranked 29th in pass defense DVOA through Week 9 and have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.
Blake Bortles ($6,100)
Bortles is a great option if you’re looking to free up salary space to spend at other positions. He may not be a good real-world quarterback, but he has been a reasonably productive fantasy option. Bortles is averaging 23.6 fantasy points per game over his last three. The Lions ranked 31st in pass defense DVOA heading into their Week 10 bye, and have allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks on the year.
Le’Veon Bell ($6,600)
Bell’s volume this year has been staggering, and he is averaging 16.7 carries plus 9.3 targets per game, effectively giving you exposure to the volume of a mid-range running back combined with a mid-ranged receiver. I already mentioned the Browns’ poor pass defense in talking about Roethlisberger. Bell also offers a ton of upside in this match-up, as the Browns ranked 29th in run defense DVOA heading into Week 10. The Steelers are 8-point favorites, meaning there is good chance they pick up a big lead and take a run-heavy approach, making Bell even more appealing.
DeMarco Murray ($6,200)
Murray ranks second in the league in rushing yards per game with 93.0, and he has cracked 100 total yards five times this season. He has eight rushing and two receiving touchdowns, averaging 1.0 total touchdowns per game on the year. Murray gets a great match-up this week against the Colts, who ranked 30th in run defense DVOA heading into Week 10 and have also allowed top-10 fantasy production to opposing running backs this season.
Mike Evans ($5,750)
Despite a down game last week, Evans’ volume on the year makes him incredibly hard to ignore in cash games. He’s averaging a full 12.0 targets per game and has only seen fewer than 11 targets twice in nine games. The Chiefs haven’t been bad against the pass this year, but they have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wideouts. After last week’s down game, Evans’ price tag has dropped below the top tier of wide receivers, making him a great value.
Jamison Crowder ($4,300)
After a bit of a lull in the middle of the season, Crowder’s volume has once again picked up. After averaging 8.3 targets per game through his first three this season, he has averaged 9.3 per game over his last three. Crowder leads Washington with 12 red zone targets on the season, giving him plenty of upside in this week’s game. Washington has a 26.5-point implied total against a Green Bay defense allowing top-10 fantasy production to opposing wideouts this year.
Cameron Meredith ($4,100)
With Alshon Jeffery being handed a four-game suspension, the Bears are incredibly thin at wide receiver, leaving Meredith as their top receiving option. This is an offense that was already struggling before losing their best player. Nobody in Chicago has a great ceiling, but Meredith stands to see WR1 volume at a discount this week. Jeffery’s absence leaves 8 targets per game unaccounted for, and while some of that volume will be spread to Zach Miller and Eddie Royal, Meredith stands to be the biggest beneficiary.
Delanie Walker ($4,900)
I already touched on why I like the Titans’ passing offense this week, taking on a Colts secondary ranked 29th in pass defense DVOA through Week 9, and Indianapolis has allowed top-5 fantasy production to opposing tight ends. Walker has seen eight-plus targets in five of his last seven games, including 20 targets over his last two contests. Combine that elite volume with a great match-up, and Walker has both a great floor and great ceiling this week.
Julius Thomas ($4,000)
Targeting tight ends against the Lions has been a winning formula all year. Detroit allowed top-5 fantasy production to the position last season and has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game this season. They are also the only team giving up a full touchdown per game to tight ends. They also, as I mentioned for Bortles, have been all-around awful against the pass this season. Thomas doesn’t have the safest floor, as he has seen fewer than five targets in a game twice this year, but he is coming off of a season-high 10 targets last week. In such a favorable match-up, Thomas offers tremendous value.
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