Week 12 Fantasy Aces Cash Game Picks
Cash Games are daily fantasy contests with a flat pay-out structure that tend to pay out roughly 50 percent of the field. The same prize is awarded to all “winners,” regardless of relative score. Because you’re winning the same amount of money whether you finish ahead of the cash line by 1 point or 100 points, you’re not necessarily looking to put together a lineup filled with massive upside and boom-or-bust options. You should look for the best value — picking players most likely to give you solid fantasy production relative to their salaries. With that said, let’s take a look at my favorite Week 12 Fantasy Aces cash game picks…
Tom Brady ($7,700)
Brady has been phenomenal this season, throwing only one interception while posting three-plus touchdowns in four of his six games. He has finished as a top-five fantasy quarterback in those four games, and has three top-3 weekly finishes. Brady shouldn’t have too much trouble doing that again this week against a Jets defense that ranked 29th in pass defense DVOA through Week 10 (Week 11 numbers haven’t been released as of writing)
Derek Carr ($6,500)
Carr had a strong game on Monday, posting 21.6 fantasy points. He has finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback six times this season and is priced as the 10th-most expensive quarterback on this week’s main slate (i.e., not including the six starters playing on Thursday). He offers solid value against a Panthers’ defense allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season.
Marcus Mariota ($6,250)
Over the last three weeks, Mariota has finished as the QB4, QB1 and QB6 — averaging 25.4 fantasy points per game in that span. He doesn’t have an especially tough match-up this week against a Bears defense ranked in the middle of the pack against the pass. Considering his recent production, he’s an absolute steal as the 13th-most expensive quarterback on the slate.
Jeremy Hill ($5,300)
With Giovani Bernard done for the year, Hill now sits alone atop the Bengals’ running back depth chart. If we remove Bernard’s snaps and touches from the equation, Hill has played 95 percent of the Bengals’ offensive snaps and handled 96 percent of the running back rush attempts. Hill has already seen 15-plus touches in each of his last three games, and even in a tough match-up against the Ravens, it’s hard to pass up on a guy with Hill’s workhorse potential at this price.
Rashad Jennings ($5,000)
Despite some temporary concerns about Paul Perkins, Jennings looks to be locked in as a workhorse for the Giants. He played 70 percent of the team’s offensive snaps last week, while handling 21 of the 25 running back rush attempts and also adding six targets in the passing game. Taking on an abysmal Browns defense is an added bonus.
Odell Beckham ($6,350)
Beckham is coming off of a down game, but Week 11 was only his third time in 10 games this season with fewer than 10 targets. Regardless of how he played last week, he should be in for a ton of targets. OBJ has six touchdowns in his last six games and is in a terrific spot this week against the Browns, who ranked 31st in pass defense DVOA through Week 10.
Brandon LaFell ($4,600)
With both Giovani Bernard and A.J. Green out, the Bengals have lost the players accounting for 151 of their 349 passing targets this season. Brandon LaFell has seen a team-high 27.8% of those other 198 targets, and while Tyler Boyd had seen more targets than LaFell in the two games leading up to Week 11, LaFell out-targeted Boyd after Green went down. The Ravens aren’t a great match-up, but LaFell stands to see a big workload with a bargain price tag.
Greg Olsen ($4,950)
While he hasn’t quite matched his volume from the beginning of the season, Olsen has averaged 7.3 targets per game over his last three, accounting for 22% of the Panthers’ total in that span. His price has dipped a bit, more like a mid-tier tight end than an elite one, making him a nice bargain against an Oakland team that has allowed top-10 fantasy production to tight ends this year.
Will Tye ($3,500)
If it feels like I’m picking on the Browns this week, I absolutely am. The Giants have a decent 25.5-point implied total, and as I’ve mentioned, the Browns ranked 31st in pass defense DVOA through Week 10. Cleveland also allows the league’s most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. With Larry Donnell out, Tye has played at least 70 percent of the Giants’ offensive snaps in each of the last three games. He’s averaging 6.7 targets per game in that span. With such a good match-up and low price tag, it won’t take much for Tye to return solid value here.
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