Week 15 FanDuel Superflex Stacks
In case you missed it, FanDuel is testing the waters with a new Superflex DFS offering.
— FanDuel (@FanDuel) December 13, 2017
This really is an amazing development for fantasy football. We have long stated here at TwoQBs that superflex is the way of the future; the best format of fantasy football. Ever since the fold of Fantasy Aces, there has not been a platform on which to play superflex DFS… until now. With FanDuel offering superflex contests, it not only allows fantasy gamers to enjoy the same level of enjoyment they experience in their home leagues, but is also hosted on a major DFS site. Seriously, thank you, FanDuel.
As a result, we would like to tailor our DFS content towards this format. In superflex DFS, correlation becomes even more important. You can obviously fit two quarterbacks into your lineup, but you can also stack them both, giving your lineups higher upside than ever before. Going forward, I will be offering up my favorite stack, favorite value stack, and a “game stack of the week”, which will be two stacks from the same game I recommend playing together.
Drew Brees ($9,500) + Alvin Kamara ($9,100) + Michael Thomas ($8,100)
Run it back with: Robby Anderson ($7,800)
The Saints have the highest implied team total on the slate at 31.75 points. The next closest team is the Patriots at 28, a huge difference. Another Vegas trend favoring them is that there is 1.5 points of reverse line movement against the Jets, indicating a lot of the sharp money expects New Orleans to route New York. The Jets have allowed 25 passing touchdowns on the season, just one shy of the league lead. They rank 27th in Football Outsiders‘ pass DVOA.
Thomas and Kamara are the top two target-getters in the Saints offense, coming in with target shares of 28 and 18 percent, respectively. They are also sixth and fourth, respectively, in targets at their positions. The Jets are 30th in DVOA against number one wide receivers, and 26th in DVOA against running backs in the passing game.
With Bryce Petty now in at quarterback for the Jets, Anderson figures to see plenty of targets go his way. Over the past two seasons, Petty has targeted Anderson on 37 of his 140 attempts, good for 26.4 percent. Given the spread, the Jets should be passing the ball frequently. And if the lead becomes extraordinary, the coverage should soften, allowing Anderson to do even more damage.
Top Value Stack
Tyrod Taylor ($7,400) + Charles Clay ($5,300)
Run it back with: Kenyan Drake ($6,500)
The Bills have an implied team total of 21.25, which doesn’t sound impressive until you compare that to their season-long scoring average of 18.5. Buffalo should do more damage than normal. The Dolphins are 26th in pass DVOA. Miami has only played one real mobile quarterback this season in Cam Newton. Newton had 95 yards rushing in that game. There is precedent that shows Taylor could get loose on the ground in this matchup.
Kelvin Benjamin has been limited in practice, and while he is scheduled to play, it is likely he is not at full strength. Clay has been the most targeted player by Taylor in his tenure as a Bill, with about 16 percent of the targets. The Dolphins are 29th in DVOA against the tight end, and sixth in points allowed to the position.
Drake is a phenomenal play in a vacuum, and an ideal player to utilize as a part of this stack. Buffalo is first in fantasy points allowed to running backs, and 24th in rush DVOA. Drake is averaging 28 touches per game in two starts without Damien Williams in the lineup. He also has at least 141 total yards in both games.
Game Stack of the Week
Aaron Rodgers ($9,100) + Davante Adams ($7,300) + Jordy Nelson ($7,200)
Cam Newton ($8,500) + Christian McCaffrey ($6,900) + Devin Funchess ($7,300)
This game opened with a total of 45.5, and has already come up to 47. The headline for the matchup is, of course, that Aaron Rodgers is back at the helm of the Packers, and it should be noted he posted at least 23 fantasy points in his last three healthy games prior to breaking his collarbone. Newton is fifth in total quarterback scoring this season, and remains one of the highest upside players in fantasy. Green Bay is 20th in pass DVOA. Combine that with Rodgers’ ability to succeed in any matchup, and we have a potential shootout on our hands.
On the Packers side, we have two potential stacking partners in Nelson and Adams (and don’t be shy about using both!). Adams has been red hot in Rodgers’ absence, with at least 80 yards in four of his last five games, and four total touchdowns in that span. Nelson has averaged 16 FanDuel points per game in contests played with Rodgers the last two seasons, and the star quarterback has already indicated he would like to get him going in this matchup.
Aaron Rodgers on Jordy Nelson: "I know there's a lot of juice left in 87. I'd like to fill that up this week."
— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) December 14, 2017
For the Panthers, Sammy Reid has already given us a reason to look Funchess’ way.
Julio Jones, season: 28% target share, 42% air yards share
Devin Funchess, since Benjamin trade: 28% target share, 42% air yards share#SexPanther
— Sammy Reid (@SammyReidFI) December 14, 2017
The usage here is extremely attractive, as is the matchup with a Packer secondary ranked 31st in DVOA against number one wide receivers. Green Bay has also allowed the third-most receptions to opposing running backs, which is where McCaffrey comes into play. The rookie running back has captured 23 percent of the Panthers targets on the season. With two offenses that figure to be relatively concentrated in the passing game, this is a terrific stack, and playing all six of these players still leaves plenty of salary to fill out a competitive roster.