WEEK 17 FANDUEL SUPERFLEX GPP QUARTERBACK PLAYS
As many (all) TwoQBs readers know—when possible, we should always be starting a QB in the superflex spot. They produce the most consistent scoring compared to the WR and RB positions. Here I will outline a QB1 to place into your starting QB spot and two additional QB2 pairings to use in the Superflex spot for Fanduel GPPs.
GPP QB1 – MATTHEW STAFFORD ($7,800)
MOTIVATION. Motivation is the absolute key to having a successful Week 17 DFS slate. The Packers have ruled out Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams, Aaron Jones, Richard Rodgers, and Jahri Evans for Sunday. They also placed Jason Spriggs on IR. On defense, Clay Matthews (LB), Damarious Randall (CB), Ahmad Brooks (LB), Quinton Dial (DT), Davon House (CB), and Mike Daniels (DT) are all listed as questionable. Nick Perry has been officially ruled out. Aaron Rodgers was placed on IR. Needless to say, Green Bay has absolutely no reason to show up this Sunday. Brett Hundley is not good and he will be without two starting offensive linemen and his two top wide receivers. The Lions are 7-point home favorites and if any of them have hopes for Jim Caldwell remaining as their head coach they will show up for this game. Caldwell will either be coaching for his job, or for his audition as an offensive coordinator somewhere else.
Now we move onto the matchup… which is very good. Outside of a frigid Week 16 matchup against the Vikings, the Packers have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four straight. This includes multiple passing touchdowns to both Jameis Winston and DeShone Kizer. The Vikings were able to play very strong defense and run the ball against the Packers. The Lions can’t run the ball.
Detroit has failed to eclipse 100 yards rushing in four straight games. They have averaged 37 passing attempts during that span. Stafford has completed over 75 percent of his passes in three of those four games, but oddly only has five passing touchdowns. Stafford looks primed for a chance to finish the season really strong against a passing defense allowing tons of touchdowns and he offers at least $700 of savings versus Tom Brady or Russell Wilson at the top. Both of whom are also great options, but I’m looking at Stafford for tournaments. I also like Jimmy Garoppolo in Stafford’s price range against a Rams defense resting starters.
GPP QB2 – JACOBY BRISSETT ($6,600)
Interestingly, Jacoby Brissett is priced in the mid-tier on DraftKings. He actually costs more than Tyrod Taylor. I think Tyrod is a better play, but he is $7,300 on FanDuel. We should be looking to take advantage of the site differences when we can. At $6,600, I think Brissett is a much safer play than Patrick Mahomes, who is picking up steam as a $6,000 option.
Brissett is an interesting case because you shouldn’t be playing him without TY Hilton, as he has only shown a ceiling when Hilton has a strong game. Brissett’s two strongest passing outings came against San Fran and Houston when Hilton cleared 150 yards in each contest. So, I will instead make the case for Hilton.
Hilton draws a Houston passing defense that has been decimated by deep threats. They are allowing 8.74 yards per target to WRs over the last five weeks. That’s very bad. We saw Keelan Cole and Marquise Goodwin both hit them for over 100 yards, both averaging over 17.5 yards per catch. Martavis Bryant also went for 60 yards on only three catches and four targets last week. And the last time Hilton played the Texans, he went for 175 yards and two touchdowns. He’s at home, in a dome and on turf, where Hilton plays his absolute best. He’s coming off of his first double-digit target game with Brissett and facing a terrible pass defense. Stack Brissett and Hilton this weekend.
GPP QB2 – JAMEIS WINSTON ($7,200)
One way to find motivation is to play a divisional opponent who is fighting for playoff seeding. If the Bucs beat the Saints this weekend, they would knock them into the Wild Card. They would also cost them a victory for the division title. Plus, they won’t know the outcome of the Panthers-Falcons game because they all play at 4PM. Winston is playing to quiet doubts over his ability as a quarterback going into 2018 and possibly an audition for a new head coach. As of now, we have no news of the Bucs planning to rest anyone.
The Saints pass defense looked like they were an absolute powerhouse to start the season. That has not been the case recently. Over the past five weeks, they have allowed 7.1 yards per attempt. They have generated six interceptions during that span, but they played Matt Ryan and Bryce Petty. There is also a hidden positive in that the Saints don’t have much tape from their earlier game against Winston to look at. He only threw 13 passing attempts before leaving with injury.
Since returning from injury, Winston is averaging 305 passing yards and two touchdowns per game, and has quietly completed 77 percent of his attempts over the past two weeks. He has also averaged three rushing attempts for 13 yards. He has actually played better with DeSean Jackson off of the field, as he has gone back to his roots with Mike Evans. DJax is questionable with both an injury, and a Marijuana Bullet Car. His absence would not concern me. No one is going to use Winston this weekend and I think a Winston/Evans stack is fully in play. Marshon Lattimore is not as much a concern for me, as we should note he has only shut down Davante Adams and Brandin Cooks this season. Julio Jones just lit him up for 140 yards on six catches in his coverage last week.
All that said, Winston is a much riskier option than the first two quarterbacks listed here.