Week 5 Fantasy Aces Cash Game Picks
Cash Games are daily fantasy contests that have a flat pay-out structure and tend to generally pay out roughly 50 percent of the field. … The payout structure is usually the same prize for all winners, regardless of relative score. Because you’re winning the same amount of money whether you finish ahead of the cash line by 1 point or 100 points, you’re not necessarily looking to put together a lineup filled with massive upside and boom-or-bust options. You should look to find the best value — picking players most likely to give you solid fantasy production relative to their salaries. With that said, let’s look at my favorite Week 5 Fantasy Aces Cash Game Picks…
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Ben Roethlisberger ($7,000)
With the exception of Week 3’s game against an Eagles defense allowing the league’s fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, Roethlisberger has thrown for at least three touchdowns in each outing this season, and he ranks as the QB4 in fantasy so far. The Steelers have a hefty 27.75-point implied total this week and are taking on a Jets defense ranked 30th in Football Outsiders’ pass defense DVOA going into Week 4. Right on queue, the Jets allowed 309 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air to the Seahawks on Sunday. They have also allowed the league’s fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.
Philip Rivers ($6,900)
According to RotoViz’s Kevin Cole, the Chargers have been one of the league’s most pass-heavy teams when you account for game script this season. Rivers is averaging a league-high eight red zone pass attempts per game, as well as 3.25 goal line passing attempts per game. He should be able to turn that volume into strong fantasy output this week against a Raiders defense allowing the most passing yards, sixth-most passing touchdowns, sixth-highest adjusted yards per pass attempt, and third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks on the year.
Trevor Siemian ($6,150)
The Falcons have been abysmal against quarterbacks this year, allowing the league’s most fantasy points per game to the position, despite playing half a game against Derek Anderson last week. They have also allowed the second-most passing yards, most passing touchdowns, fourth-highest completion percentage, and 10th-high adjusted yards per pass attempt in the league. Siemian ranks sixth among quarterbacks in fantasy points per attempt (min. 10) to start the season, and should thrive in such a good match-up if healthy. Siemian is nursing a shoulder injury, though, and if he can’t go, the favorable match-up makes Paxton Lynch ($5,650) a great punt play.
LeGarrette Blount ($4,800)
In the three games with the Patriots favored by at least 9.5 points over the last two seasons, Blount averaged 20 carries, 87 yards, and 1.3 touchdowns per game (per the RotoViz Game Splits app). While his workload will likely fall over the remainder of the season with Tom Brady back under center, Blount is a safe bet for a big workload for at least one more game, as the Patriots are favored by 10.5 against the Browns this week. The Browns have allowed top-10 fantasy production to opposing running backs, making this a great match-up for Blount, who currently sits as the RB12 in fantasy.
Terrance West ($4,750)
West was already seeing less competition in the backfield with Justin Forsett a healthy scratch in Week 4, but the Ravens released Forsett on Tuesday. The lead running back job belongs solely to West (for now). He draws about as good a match-up as there is this week, taking on a Washington defense ranked 32nd in run defense DVOA through three games. Washington will likely remain 32nd when this week’s numbers are released, as they allowed 163 yards on the ground to the Browns in Week 4. The ‘Skins are also allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
Jordan Matthews ($5,000)
Matthews saw his snaps limited in Week 3, as the Eagles gave their backups playing time in a blowout win over the Steelers. If we look at his two previous games, though, Matthews saw a huge 23 targets. Detroit has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, while allowing the second-highest adjusted yards per pass attempt. Matthews has accounted for 26% of the Eagles’ targets this year, and only one other Eagles’ player has even half of Matthews’ 26 targets. He will play a big role in any success they have through the air.
Travis Benjamin ($4,700)
Benjamin has seen at least six targets in each game this season, and his total of 28 ties for the team-high. Meanwhile, he leads the Chargers in receptions (21), receiving yards (277), and receiving touchdowns (2). He has also been an efficient fantasy producer, and his 1.65 fantasy points per target are good for 17th among the 67 wideouts with at least 20 targets on the season. I already touched on this being a good spot for the Charger’s passing offense. The Raiders defense ranks bottom-10 against the pass in most areas, while allowing the league’s most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
Quincy Enunwa ($4,300)
Despite sharing receiver work with Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall for his first three games this season, Enunwa is only 2.2 fantasy points behind Decker for the highest mark on the team, while his 25 targets were good for second on the team. He saw seven more targets with Decker sidelined in Week 4 and has accounted for 21% of the Jets’ total targets this season. The Steelers ranked 24th in pass defense DVOA through 3 weeks, and while this week’s numbers aren’t out as of writing, they allowed 287 yards and 2 touchdowns to Alex Smith in Week 4, so they will likely grade as a below-average unit again when Football Outsiders updates their numbers.
Hunter Henry ($4,350)
I’ve already outlined how bad Oakland has been against the pass, and receiving tight ends are no exception, as Oakland gives up top-10 fantasy production to the position. With Antonio Gates out, Henry has seen decent usage, totaling 12 targets, 9 receptions, 133 yards, and 2 touchdowns over his last two games. Gates has been nursing a hamstring injury and didn’t practice last week, making it look unlikely he will be healthy on Sunday. If he does play, Gates at $3,800 becomes an interesting punt play because of his incredibly low salary and great match-up.
Cameron Brate ($4,300)
Per Scott Barrett of ProFootballFocus, Brate ranks top-five in snaps, routes run, targets, goal line targets, and red zone targets among tight ends over the past two weeks. He has clearly emerged as Tampa’s number-one tight end and ranks second on the team with 19% of the team’s targets in that span. The Buccaneers have attempted a league-high 177 passes, and that volume should stay high this week because they will likely be playing from behind as 4.5-point underdogs against Carolina. The Panthers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends to open the season, despite having faced an unimpressive cast of fantasy tight ends, including Virgil Green, Vance McDonald, and Austin Hooper.