Week 6 Draftkings Quarterback Plays
Cash Games – Deshaun Watson ($6,700)
Watson will be the highest-owned quarterback this week on DraftKings. Because of this, he must be considered strictly a cash game play (and a fade in GPPs). Selecting Watson, the hottest QB in the league and, along with Alex Smith, the highest scoring fantasy QB in 2017, is purely a defensive play. With a dream matchup at home vs. the Browns, do you really want to risk not having this guy in your lineup when he accounts for 3+ TDs, propelling over half your 50/50 group and effectively eliminating your own chances to cash? This is a unique situation where it’s probably smart to go with the herd and play it safe when constructing your cash lineup. As the sixth-most expensive QB on the board, Watson does come at a slight value considering the numbers he has been putting up. Don’t get cute; ride this hot streak in a juicy situation.
Kevin Hogan ($4,600)
Then again, sometimes it’s nice to get cute. Deshaun Watson will not need to put up big numbers like he did on Sunday night in catch-up mode. Because of that, Watson’s upside is capped. Houston will likely be in ball-control mode for most of the second half vs. Cleveland (a Lamar Miller and Kevin Hogan anti-stack could be unconventionally invaluable in this game). Cleveland will be needing to play catch-up and Hogan was a clear improvement from Kizer once again last week with 194 yards and 2 touchdowns in the second half, nearly pulling off the comeback victory. Hogan also has sneaky added value with his legs—he has a 100-yard rushing performance in his career and he’s only appeared in seven games. This gives Hogan a nice floor and is dirt-cheap this week. Fading Watson is a roll of the dice in cash games, but Hogan is actually more likely to give you a better return on investment this week than his counterpart.
GPP – Ben Roethlisberger ($5,700)
Whoa, really? He’s even questioning himself whether he “has it” anymore. That’s nonsense. Last week’s dud was all Jacksonville, now the best defense in the league. Go figure, the Jags tank for several years, accumulate several first round picks on defense, and now they’re dominant? Trust the Process.
Big Ben has averaged 40 passing attempts per game this year, so the opportunity is there. This is not a situation where an aging quarterback slowly fades into game-manager Peyton Manning territory. The Steelers need to pass the ball a lot to have any shot at winning games. The Chiefs are the third best team at giving fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, Roethlisberger at $5,700 is the cheapest he’s been all season, and the over/under (47) to go along with the Steelers +4.5 suggests a positive game script for Big Ben. Combine all that with recency bias and you have yourself an extreme value on Ben Roethlisberger in a situation where he will need to prove he’s still an elite quarterback. His ownership percentage will be pretty low and his upside is still as high as ever. What else could you ask for in a GPP quarterback?