Post-Draft #SFB480 Interview With Josh Hornsby
The 2016 Scott Fish Bowl aka the #SFB480 is reaching its conclusion. Most drafts are either complete or in the final stages of being done. … That’s a good thing considering all the unique scoring rules (0.25 points per carry, TE-premium) and roster requirements (superflex plus three additional flex spots) we had to decipher. Mr. Fish does not make things easy for us.
Like we did pre-#SFB480 with our Zach Law interview series, we’ve decided to ask participants about their experience now that the draft is over. Our own Ben Cummins came up with the questions.
Today’s interview subject is: Josh Hornsby – Contributor for TwoQBs.
1. What was your draft strategy heading into the #SFB480 and were you able to execute it?
I don’t have a rigid strategy in mind with any draft, if I can avoid it. In R&D, or any other creative venture, pre-determining your path often leads to flawed designs or “me, too, with a twist” creations… neither of which a customer desires. Likewise, my draft strategies are often highly flexible depending on the whims of the league, and I am prepared to go about 73 different directions.
For this draft, my only real goal was to have enough variation in my roster construction to step away from the crowd. I wanted a position split with < 2% representation, and I feel I got there (5QB, 7RB, 7WR, 3TE – 4X – 0.83%). Obviously, attrition throughout the season will re-mold the splits, but my goal was to differentiate before Week 1.
2. What was your plan of attack for quarterbacks in this particular format, and do you think you will utilize a similar strategy in more traditional 2QB/Superflex leagues?
My intention from the beginning was to have a “running” QB as my full-time Superflex. That meant waiting for the right time to take Wilson, Luck, Mariota, Taylor, and/or Smith. I then intended to take a QB with a high ceiling and low relative price. My targets were Rivers, Winston, Ryan, and Flacco. Having my “QB1” as my full-time Superflex allows me to utilize a quasi Zero QB method but maximize the points I get in the Superflex spot… I would definitely go that way again.
Josh’s Final #SFB480 roster
3. Did you prioritize one or more of the unique scoring settings/roster requirements in-draft?
I’m pretty confident once Scott posted the scoring system, everyone decided that carry volume was a priority, regardless of position. I wanted to take this concept a step further, believing that TD volume was more critical than touch volume, particularly at the WR position. Since I planned to go RBx3 (at minimum) to open, I attempted to take WRs with high-TD upside as a means of compensating for reduced touches at reduced points-per-touch. For example, one rush/reception TD (disregarding the accompanying yardage or touch scoring) will overcome four average-length receptions (11.5 YPR) or nine average-length carries (4.2 YPC). I focused on high-leverage players (I. Crowell, T. Hightower, K. Robinson, D. Jackson, D. Moncrief, A. Boldin) that don’t require volume to become top-12 positional scorers.
4. How balanced do you feel your team is? Is there one position you have an advantage at, and if so, did it come at the expense of weakening another position?
With the flexibility of roster requirements, I don’t think anyone can come away from their draft thinking they have a weak position. Short-handed? Perhaps. I’m probably most fragile at QB, despite drafting five.
5. What pick do you feel gave you the most value?
Unless one of the P. Lynch, G. Smith, J. McCown trio takes over their QB situation, I think Khiry Robinson (20.11 selection) presents the most value. He slots in immediately as the RZ RB and has 10 TD upside. The Jets signed him with purpose.
6. Do you have any picks you regret and wish you could do over?
I don’t think so. Second-guessing is a fool’s errand and inserts doubt into the process. I’ll wait until (at least) the quarter pole to re-evaluate this draft.
7. This is a safe space, vent all you want on this one: What’s your snipe horror story?
Surprisingly, I don’t have one. The only “must-have” player I didn’t land was Keith Marshall, who went RB74 two picks before I pivoted to Geno Smith (18.11).
8. Even though the #SFB480 is unique in its scoring and roster settings, did you learn anything during the #SFB480 you can utilize in future drafts?
I always learn something about the crowd and its murmurations. In this case, many were content to draft three QBs in the first ten rounds, attempting to lock up the Superflex spot. I’ll gladly pick up the pieces left behind in this format and others like it.
9. If you have any other thoughts regarding the #SFB480 that my questions didn’t address, go ahead and spill the beans now…
Scott continues to organize an amazing event, and for a great cause. We’re lucky to have him as part of our community.
Thanks to Josh for answering the questions and Ben for asking them. You can find Josh on twitter @ and Ben @BenCumminsFF. Also be sure to send thanks Scott Fish’s way @ScottFish24 for putting on such an awesome event and don’t forget to donate to the Toys for Tots drive at fantasycares.net.
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