#SFB480 Quarterback Drafting Thoughts After Day 1

#SFB480 Quarterback Drafting Thoughts After Day 1

As I write this, it’s almost 2AM in the morning, West Coast style. I’m looking at my bad-ass division (Patrick Swayze) in the #SFB480. … And wondering if we’re nearing the start of a quarterback run?

Through five rounds (currently at 5.11), only 11 signal callers have come off the board. Five teams have selected both of their starting quarterbacks, one team has locked down their QB1, while the remaining six teams are quarterback-less.

Below you can see how the draft has unfolded so far.

#SFB480 Patrick Swayze

I couldn’t have been more pleased kicking things off with David Johnson and Russell Wilson at the 1.12/2.01 slot, and while Drew Brees is a value pick at the end of round three, looking at how many quarterbacks are still on the board it might have been a wiser choice not to take the Saints signal caller there.

Our division stands still at pick 59 overall, and quarterbacks like Tyrod Taylor (44.8 ADP) and Marcus Mariota (46.7 ADP), who get a boost from the 0.25 points per carry scoring bonus, are still on the board. Heading into the draft, my dream QB starting duo was Russell Wilson and Tyrod Taylor.

Seeing Taylor on the board, and knowing it would be overboard to take him, when Wilson and Brees are already on my roster makes me question my early quarterback strategy. But one thing I’ve learned from the Scott Fish Bowl is that every divisional draft is unique on to its own and there’s no time for regrets.

If there had been a quarterback run after I selected Brees it would have made that pick look a lot smarter in hindsight. Because the run didn’t come, I will miss out on the value quarterback picks later on. However, not every #SFB480 draft has ignored the quarterback position.

The Olivia Munn division sticks out the most. At the same point in their draft where we are now (through almost five rounds), they had 18 quarterbacks go off the board, compared to only 11 for us. And through the first six rounds they drafted 25 signal callers in total.

What makes the #SFB480 a fun experience, other than getting to share in the joy of each pick or commiserate in the misery of each snipe on Twitter, is how varying leagues are in terms of draft strategy. There will be a slew of quarterbacks drafted close to each other in our division, with six teams needing to still fill their QB1 slot, in addition to considering a quarterback in the superflex spot.

If you find yourself in a league still in the early stages of the draft, using the two leagues I singled out in this article to see how different quarterback drafting can be will aid you in coming up with a draft strategy at the quarterback position.

I reached out to my league mate, and 2015 Scott Fish Bowl champion, Derek Myers, for his thoughts on our division’s draft so far…

“My initial reaction to Day 1 of the #SFB480 is the major difference turning down PPR from 1 full point in the #SFB360 to .5 points this year (other than TE). Last year, I remember being desperate for WRs early and often. This year, I do not feel that sense of urgency, and looking at the Patrick Swayze division I don’t think many others do either. Another interesting thing I’ve caught onto through Twitter using the hashtag #SFB480 is how fast QBs are going. I’m not sure if the Patrick Swayze division is the anomaly or other divisions are, but we only have 10 QBs off the board though four and a half rounds while others have 15+.

Finally, the Patrick Swayze division only has four TEs off the board so far. I think a lot of us have a similar thought process and are taking the value as much as we can in the early rounds. I’ll be very interested to see how things turn in Day 2 and where the runs start. The division really hasn’t had any sort of run on any position on QB or TE, but I know they are coming. Stay tuned.”

Before I go, I want to leave you with a snapshot of the #SFB480 quarterback ADP as of this writing (2AM PST). If you’re jealous of the divisions that have outpaced you in draft picks, take the time to learn from their picks, good or bad, to help formulate a quarterback strategy the rest of the way.

RankNamePositionTeamADPStandard Deviation
1Newton, CamQBCAR6.83.8
2Wilson, RussellQBSEA14.44.5
3Rodgers, AaronQBGBP15.14.8
4Luck, AndrewQBIND16.43.9
5Brees, DrewQBNOS25.16.7
6Roethlisberger, BenQBPIT32.18
7Bortles, BlakeQBJAC34.99.3
8Palmer, CarsonQBARI39.19.8
9Winston, JameisQBTBB40.48.6
10Brady, TomQBNEP43.26.2
11Stafford, MatthewQBDET440
12Taylor, TyrodQBBUF44.86.3
13Carr, DerekQBOAK46.310.6
14Mariota, MarcusQBTEN46.76.1
15Manning, EliQBNYG49.24.1
16Romo, TonyQBDAL500
17Rivers, PhilipQBSDC51.84.2
18Dalton, AndyQBCIN55.53.5
19Cousins, KirkQBWAS58.32.5
20Tannehill, RyanQBMIA640
21Ryan, MattQBATL641
22Bridgewater, TeddyQBMIN650
23Flacco, JoeQBBAL670
24Smith, AlexQBKCC690
25Cutler, JayQBCHI700

And click here if you want access to live and updated #SFB480 ADP.

Salvatore Stefanile

Salvatore Stefanile is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) and has been playing fantasy football since his high school days. He is a proponent of 2QB fantasy football leagues and his work has been featured on XN Sports, RotoViz, and Rotoworld. His writing on 2QB fantasy football leagues earned him the FSWA award for 'Best Fantasy Football On-Going Series' in 2013. He earned a second FSWA nomination in 2015. You can follow him on Twitter @2QBFFB

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