Quarterback Consistency Scores through Week 6
Editor’s Note: This guest post was written by Phillip Caldwell — follow him on Twitter @DumpsterDiveFF.
In fantasy football, consistency is king. When you have a bonafide stud that you can “set and forget” in your lineup, it makes your other lineup decisions easier, your bench more flexible, and your team just plain better. That’s why I’ve used my financial background to look at fantasy outputs and developed a system to score quarterback consistency.
Let’s get into the consistency scores of quarterbacks and defenses against quarterbacks through Week 6…
Fantasy Consistency Scores – QBs
Fantasy Consistency Scores – Defenses vs. QBs
For more information about my consistency scores and the math behind them, refer to my first article on the subject from after Week 5. With another week of data in the books, here are the quarterbacks and defenses catching my eye:
Beathard is All Coached Up
Kyle Shanahan has done wonders with C.J. Beathard in a difficult situation. In three starts this season, Beathard hasn’t scored fewer than 17.8 fantasy points. And this run can continue leading up to San Francisco’s bye week.
Sure, the Rams are rank 30th in consistency allowed to quarterbacks, but they are a tale of two teams this season. In the first three weeks of 2018, when their cornerbacks were healthy, the Rams’ points allowed consistency score was a daunting 1.78, making them the worst matchup out of all 32 teams. But over the past three weeks, their score is 10.78 which is the eighth-best matchup during over that span.
After the Rams, the 49ers take on the Cardinals (27th), Raiders (4th), and Giants (9th) before going into their bye.
Wentz About to Wane?
Carson Wentz is back to where he left off last season, but his next couple of weeks worry me. Carolina ranks in the middle of the pack of defenses at 14th, so neither a good nor a bad matchup. After facing the Panthers this week, Wentz plays Jacksonville, ranked 21st, followed by the Eagles’ bye week.
Post-bye, the matchups open up for Philadelphia’s signal caller. But if you need to win now to get into the playoffs, it might be time to sell high on Wentz before these next three weeks.
Baker Turning Up the Heat
Baker Mayfield currently ranks 18th in QB consistency, and he hasn’t eclipsed 20 points in a game yet. But his next four weeks feature utterly tantalizing matchups: Tampa Bay (1st), Pittsburgh (2nd), Kansas City (5th), and Atlanta (6th).
If Mayfield can’t feast on those matchups, he is hopeless for 2018. Combined, those four teams average 25.18 fantasy points per game allowed to the quarterback position. Fire up Mayfield if you have him.