2QB Big Board: Mid-Season Update

2QB Big Board: Mid-Season Update

Joe Siniscalchi updates his 2016 QB Big Board tiered rankings now that the regular has started and we’re in the heart of 2QB weekly management. …

We’re heading into Week Six with more than a quarter of a season’s worth of fantasy data — a pretty nice sample size. The past isn’t always the biggest indicator of future success, however, as many quarterbacks have had brutal schedules (or cupcake schedules) to start the season. Shrewd owners will look at this time as a window to buy low or sell high. I like to look at the upcoming schedule for each player and evaluate if their current starts to the season should keep up, or if they should take a turn for the better/worse. Below, I look at some buy/sell/hold options, as well as update my big board heading into Week Six.

Buy: Jameis Winston – Jameis has been an absolute turnover machine in 2016, throwing eight picks and losing fumbles twice. While seen by many as a bust, I will aggressively target Winston anywhere I can due to his upcoming schedule. If he can cut down on the turnovers, Winston has a shot at finishing in the Top-10 at the position. After the bye, he faces the 49ers, Raiders, Falcons, and Bears, all units that have struggled to date in 2016.

Sell: Matt Ryan – Ryan may very well stay near his 39 touchdown pace, but his track record says don’t bet on it. He predictably came down to earth against the Broncos and gets the Seahawks on the road, his first real challenges this season. If I owned Ryan, I would be trying to move him to an owner who’s buying his fast start. Averaging nearly 25 points per game, Ryan might fetch a pretty haul in 2QB leagues.

Hold: Eli Manning – He has been far from the QB1 many drafted him to be, but the offense is too talented for him to keep underperforming. The upcoming schedule isn’t all that enticing, but the return of Rashad Jennings should boost the run game to take some pressure off Eli. He’s been a low-end QB2, but his name and history have earned him the benefit of the doubt.

Updated QB Big Board – Week 6, 2016

Elite QB1Aaron RodgersGBHe's healthy, and the offense seems to be clicking against a soft schedule. The yardage hasn't been there early on, but at least he's been scoring.
Elite QB1Tom BradyNEThe FU tour kicked off with a bang as Brady finished as the QB1 overall. Even if it was against the Browns, Brady looked like he played the past four weeks.
Elite QB1Drew BreesNOBrees has been unable to string together two straight solid games this far, and has a difficult schedule coming out of the bye, but he's done a great job of utilizing all of his weapons and was the QB3 before his bye.
Elite QB1Andrew LuckINDOnce again, the offensive line is holding Luck back. Even without Donte Moncrief, Luck is a still an elite play weekly.
Elite QB1Cam NewtonCARIf you're counting his questionable Week One concussion, Cam's already got two on the year that he's been looked at for. He's maintained his high floor, but you have to wonder if these mounting injuries will force him to miss more time or the team to limit his rushing.
Elite QB1Russell WilsonSEAPlaying through an ankle sprain and MCL has limited his rushing ability somewhat, but Wilson torched the Jets for three scores, had the bye to rest up, and seems to be finally meshing with his best red zone threat in Jimmy Graham.
Reliable QB1Ben RoethlisbergerPITOutside of his clunker in Philly, Big Ben has been a stud this season, throwing at least three scores in four out of five weeks. Le'Veon's return has had no ill effects on his passing numbers.
Reliable QB1Derek CarrOAKNow sitting at QB3 heading into Week Six. I was a skeptic at first, but he's shut me up. With 11 scores vs. only two picks, Carr looks even better than last year.
Reliable QB1Philip RiversSDThe injury bug is once again feasting on the Chargers, as Keenan Allen, Danny Woodead, Antonio Gates, and members of the offensive line have all missed time due to injury. Even with injuries mounting, Rivers has thrown for at least 320 yards in three straight heading into Week Six.
Reliable QB1Matthew StaffordDETIt looks like Stafford moved on from Calvin Johnson quickly. Unfortunately, Golden Tate has been a flop and they have no semblance of a run game. He will be inconsistent, but the volume alone will keep him as a high-end weekly option.
Reliable QB1Eli ManningNYGEli has too many weapons for this offense to not pick up soon. I'd hold onto him for now.
High-End QB2Blake BortlesJAXHe's thrown a score in every game so far and has a favorable schedule. Like Carr, he keeps producing.
High-End QB2Kirk CousinsWASHe's been a fringe QB1 so far this season, and outside of an upcoming bout with Detroit, things don't look to promising for Kirk.
High-End QB2Carson PalmerARZHe's still in concussion protocol, but the rest of his schedule is favorable outside of a tough matchup with the Seahawks.
High-End QB2Matt RyanATLWas the unstoppable fantasy QB1 through four games, and was serviceable against Denver, but I'm not sure I'm buying. His next two matchups are absolutely brutal. Can he string together two straight decent outings against two tough opponents?
Reliable QB2Jameis WinstonTBHis upcoming schedule is cake and he's been a scoring machine outside of last week's matchup vs Denver. If he can cut back on his turnovers, he'd be an every week QB1.
Reliable QB2Carson WentzPHIIt's insane how a month ago he was set to be riding pine for the season. He's looked every bit worth the hype so far but one has to wonder if he will come down to earth anytime soon.
Reliable QB2Dak PrescottDALThe schedule is about to get a lot tougher for Dak, but he plays smart football and doesn't turn the ball over. I'd like him more if Dez were 100%.
Reliable QB2Andy DaltonCINDalton has been a mixed bag, but once Tyler Eifert returns it will lift the offense and give Dalton a much needed additional red zone threat.
Reliable QB2Marcus MariotaTENMariota has been extremely inconsistent to date. His upcoming slate is easy, but his ceiling will be capped as long as the Titans ride DeMarco Murray and pound the ball on the ground.
Reliable QB2Tyrod TaylorBUFHe's scored at least 15 points in each of the last three weeks, but without Sammy Watkins on the field, his ceiling plummets.
Low-End QB2Alex SmithKCAfter Week One, Smith has struggled to put up a solid showing. Between drops and a "lack of chemistry", Smith has left a lot of meat on the bone. The schedule opening up and the return of Jamaal Charles should make life easier for Smith for the next few weeks.
Low-End QB2Ryan TannehillMIABefore Week Four, Tannehill was a solid fantasy contributor. Unfortunately, he's also been a turnover machine and has benefitted from garbage time and shootouts against bad teams.
Lo- End QB2Joe FlaccoBALFlacco has underwhelmed this season. The lack of a consistent running game and volatility at the wide receiver spot has not been kind. Looking at some of the stingiest pass defenses coming up, Flacco seems like nothing more than a bye week play.
Low-End QB2Trevor SiemianDENOne has to wonder if he's still somewhat hurt after struggling to move the ball against a banged up Chargers secondary. He's played well enough to start in favorable matchups due to the talented team around him.
Low-End QB2Ryan FitzpatrickNYJHe's been a mediocre turnover machine. The loss of Eric Decker is huge, and his schedule is brutal. There isn't all that much to like here.
Low-End QB2Brian HoyerCHIIn typical Brian Hoyer fashion, he has played well filling in for someone else. He's been a QB1 in his three starts and has three straight extremely juicy matchups. With no certainty Cutler regains the job, Hoyer is one of the most intriguing lower-end options available.
Low-End QB2Sam BradfordMINHe's played extremely well for someone playing without much talent on offense, let alone someone who's been on the team for only a month. After his #revengegame against the Eagles, Bradford has some matchups against struggling pass defenses to date.
Low-End QB2Brock OsweilerHOUOsweiler has shown to be nothing more than serviceable in an offense littered with playmakers. There isn't much to like the next few weeks either.
Fringe QB2Jay CutlerCHICutler looked dreadful before getting hurt. With the possibility that he can lose the job to Brian Hoyer, his already dim star is fading fast.
Fringe QB2Colin KaepernickSFSo many question marks regarding his health and ability right now, but he's got a significantly higher ceiling thanks to his legs in this offense. He can have the biggest jump in a few weeks.
Fringe QB2Case KeenumSTLThrew two scores in back-to-back games before bombing against the Bills, but he still has the lowest weekly ceiling of anyone in the league.
Fringe QB2Paxton LynchDENLynch looked good in spot duty. It wouldn't surprise me to see him retake the job later in the season.
Fringe QB2Cody KesslerCLEOkay, I lied about Keenum. Kessler has the lowest ceiling in the league.
StashJosh McCownCLEIf you have the room, McCown makes for a great stash. He looked good when he was starting and isn't on anyone's mind at the moment.
StashTony RomoDALRomo is still far enough away from returning (Week Eight) that he if he's on your waiver wire you can let him sit another week or two. There's also the chance the Cowboys don't rush him back or give him the job with Dak playing so well.
StashGeno SmithNYJIf the Jets keep losing, there is a very real chance Geno is given a shot to play. A good stash for deeper leagues.
FlierBlaine GabbertSFGabbert has thrown for over 200 yards only once this season and played his way to the bench. Not even worth a sniff.
If You Need To…Drew StantonARZStanton has shown time and time again he's best left off the fantasy radar.

Joe Siniscalchi

I currently reside in New York, and always enjoy looking for new challenges which led me to playing in 2QB leagues. I immediately got hooked on starting the likes of Gus Frerotte and Byron Leftwich and have been playing in 2QB leagues now for over 11 years. I've previously written for TheFakeFootball.com and Football.com. In my spare time I enjoy craft beer, chipwiches, and rooting for sports teams that ultimately wind up breaking my heart.

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