Week 12 Rankings and Game Flowbotics

Week 12 Rankings and Game Flowbotics

I don’t always get to every player in every game, but each week I attempt to offer some sort of opinion on most fantasy match-ups in my Game Flowbotics spreadsheet.  Trying to cover everything is ultimately a fool’s errand.  Yes, I hope for all good calls, but the nature of football finds ways to turn many of my takes sour.  If you’re willing to live with the good and the bad in Week 12, here’s the obligatory link to the Flowbotics page:

Week 12 Game Flowbotics

As always, my weekly rankings are a couple quick mouse scrolls away.  For the space between, in honor of Thanksgiving, I want to look back to Week 11 and identify a few performances we should all be thankful for as we consider the Week 12 Rankings…

Russell Wilson, 24.28 FP, QB5

If you hadn’t see the highlights, you might look at his 272/1/0 passing line and assume he made up the rest of his 24+ fantasy points on the ground.  On the contrary, Wilson’s extra production came on a trick-play touchdown reception.  Pete Carroll’s devious call showed faith in his quarterback’s ability to run and potentially take a hit as a receiver.  We should all be thankful for Wilson’s rediscovered health and athleticism.  He should put on another dynamic QB1 display in Week 12 against Tampa Bay.

DeSean Jackson, 11.10 FP, WR19

I won’t go in-depth here, but Kirk Cousins owners should be thankful for Jackson’s return to action. Per the Rotoviz Game Splits App:

cousins d-jax splits week 12 rankings 2016

Jamize Olawale, 14.70 FP, RB6 | Jalen Richard, 11.20 FP, RB17

Kudos to the Oakland coaches for keeping their offense unpredictable and explosive.  I’m thankful they saw an hole in Houston’s defense and exploited it.  Entering Week 11, the Texans ranked 25th in DVOA against running backs as pass-catchers, but rushers facing Houston to that point only averaged 5.4 targets and 34.5 receiving yards per game (compared to league averages of 6.9 targets and 41.8 yards through Week 10).  While owners of Latavius Murray and Michael Crabtree may not be quite as thankful, we should all try to appreciate good football when we see it, regardless of fantasy implications.

Donte Moncrief, 9.70 FP, WR23

T.Y. Hilton did the heavy lifting, but it’s great to see Moncrief back in action for the Colts.  Scott Tolzien could start for Indianapolis on Thursday night, but let’s be thankful he’ll have access to the team’s best possession target and red zone threat.  An injury to Andrew Luck four weeks ago would have surely spelled disaster for Tolzien and the Colts’ offense.  With a full compliment of receiving options, Tolzien might post usable fantasy numbers for streamers, as well as DFS players willing to punt the quarterback position.

Jared Cook, 14.50 FP, TE1

It’s unfair to say some have waited all season for this performance.  Some have waited Cook’s entire career.  The much-maligned tight end had his ups and downs against Washington, but he still finished as the week’s top scorer at his position.  As with the Raiders receiving backs above, I’m thankful the Packers saw one of Washington’s weaknesses (23rd in DVOA vs. TEs) and pressed it with Cook.  I’m also thankful that Aaron Rodgers may finally have finally found the heir to Jermichael Finley.  Black Friday buyer beware, though, Cook’s match-up in Week 12 is much tougher.  The Eagles sport DVOA’s fourth-best defense against tight ends, only allowing 4.7 targets and 32.6 receiving yards per game to the position (NFL averages are 7.4 and 55.6, respectively).

Week 12 Rankings

Greg Smith

Greg Smith is an engineer, co-founder of TwoQBs.com, and enthusiast for the strategy and design of variance-based games.  When he started playing fantasy football in 2001, his home league's small number of teams necessitated starting two quarterbacks.  That necessity has since grown into obsession, making Greg one of the preeminent champions of 2QB and Superflex formats.

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