Your QB Rankings – March 2017
All month we are running quarterback polls on Twitter, pitting two different quarterbacks against each other. We run one poll every day and see how you, the readers, rank them. Hence, “Your QB Rankings” in the title. We’re clever that way.
Our Twitter polls explicitly direct voters to pick the quarterback they would prefer for redraft leagues in 2017, assuming the price is equal for both. Practically, this would mean that both players are available when you’re on the clock, and we are asking which one you would draft if these were your only two options at that pick.
While the results are shown below in typical ranking format, we want to admit the limitations in this poll-based approach. The results are, in some part, impacted by our choice of quarterbacks and our choice of the order in which we present them. These are not meant to be a definitive presentation of how the public ranks quarterbacks; this is for information and entertainment only.
As for process, we selected quarterbacks in the order they are being drafted in MFL10 bestball drafts right now.
QB1 – Aaron Rodgers vs. Andrew Luck
We kicked off a month of quarterback polls with a lopsided runaway. It appears there is no question in most minds. Aaron Rodgers is the clear QB1 for 2017 drafts, and this poll — along with the next two below — suggests there is not much disagreement.
QB2 – Andrew Luck vs. Tom Brady
If Aaron Rodgers is a tier unto himself at QB1 this year, we see a near opposite result in these next two polls. Andrew Luck, Tom Brady, and Drew Brees finish very close in polls, suggesting that most drafters see them as a three-man tier after the Aaron Rodgers tier.
QB3 – Andrew Luck vs. Drew Brees
QB4 – Andrew Luck vs. Russell Wilson
We called the group above a three-man tier because of this result. It appears that Russell Wilson is a tier down from the Luck/Brady/Brees cluster, with three-quarters of drafters preferring Luck to Wilson.
QB5 – Russell Wilson vs. Matt Ryan
This is incredible. Matt Ryan is in the mix for a QB5 ranking after going at QB17 in last year’s early drafts. What a difference a year can make! Russell Wilson edges out Ryan, but it was close.
QB6 – Matt Ryan vs. Cam Newton
And there we have it, recency bias is a powerful thing. Matt Ryan, QB17 in 2016 drafts, beats out Cam Newton, QB1 in those same drafts.
QB7 – Derek Carr vs. Cam Newton
Newton’s fall continues, with a slight majority of voters preferring Derek Carr to the Panthers’ star.
QB8 – Cam Newton vs. Marcus Mariota
Now we start to shift into a new tier, seeing Cam Newton take a 57% vote victory over Marcus Mariota, another young star. People like Marcus, but they aren’t ready to take him over the more proven commodity in Cam.
QB9 – Marcus Mariota vs. Dak Prescott
This one surprised me. I like Mariota quite a bit, but I was unprepared for him to crush Dak Prescott in such dominant fashion. Prescott has a ton of supporters, Anthony Amico foremost among them, but this vote did not show that. Mariota is the consensus vote at QB9.
QB10 – Dak Prescott vs. Ben Roethlisberger
QB11 – Dak Prescott vs. Jameis Winston
QB12 – Dak Prescott vs. Kirk Cousins
QB13 – Dak Prescott vs. Matthew Stafford
The Dak Prescott free-fall finally comes to an end, with the second-year Cowboys starter defeating Matthew Stafford. You could make a case for any one of Prescott, Stafford, Cousins, Mariota, Winston, or Roethlisberger. The latter four previously defeated Prescott. After around QB5/QB6, there will be a glut of appealing quarterbacks to choose from, which will make ADP a fascinating case study this year.
QB14 – Matthew Stafford vs. Philip Rivers
QB15 – Philip Rivers vs. Eli Manning
Rivers takes out his 2004 NFL Draft revenge on Eli by destroying him in this matchup. Joshua Lake tabbed Rivers as his 2017 draft value, so the results of this poll are in line with his thinking. Being able to snag a reliable signal caller such as Rivers to be your QB2 could very well wind up being a league-winning move.
QB16 – Eli Manning vs. Andy Dalton
QB17 – Andy Dalton vs. Tyrod Taylor
It only took Tyrod one poll to advance this year, and just like last year, he would be a tremendous value as a low-end QB2. Thanks to his rushing prowess, Tyrod has been a top-8 fantasy QB on a points per game basis the last two seasons. That’s a trend that should continue.
QB18 – Andy Dalton vs. Carson Wentz
QB19 – Carson Wentz vs. Blake Bortles
The last two seasons has seen Bortles finish as a top-10 fantasy quarterback. Even though Wentz might be better than you think, according to Joe Paeno, the results of this poll feels more like Blake Bortles hate than Carson Wentz love.
QB20 – Blake Bortles vs. Ryan Tannehill
A tie? There are no ties in football.
QB21 – Blake Bortles vs. Carson Palmer
Palmer is on a downward trend and it should be no surprise he lost to Bortles. Since joining the Cardinals, Palmer has finished as the fantasy QB17, QB31 (played in only six games), QB5, QB19. Don’t draft Palmer based on name value alone.
QB22 – Carson Palmer vs. Joe Flacco
We had one more poll question following Palmer’s defeat of Flacco, pitting the Ravens signal caller vs. the recently retired Tony Romo. Flacco wound up narrowly winning that poll (51%-49%), as voters were concerned about Romo’s recent injury history.